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Assume Half of What You Hear About the Candidates is True

This is a fun election. Trump and Clinton have provided us with one juicy rumor/scandal after another. But how do you know which rumors are true? I have taught you in this blog that even smart people are routinely fooled by confirmation bias. You think you can use your “common sense” to sort out what is true and what is an illusion, but it doesn’t work that way. Humans don’t have that sort of self-awareness. 

So what do you do?

I’ll help you sort out truth from fiction using the Persuasion Filter plus some pattern recognition.

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The Era of Women

If the latest groping/kissing allegations against Trump hold up – and I assume they will, based on quantity if not credibility – it won’t matter what Wikileaks says about Clinton. She will win easily.

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Scandal Poker - Trump Vs. Clinton

This is the most scandalicious election of all time. I’m losing track of all the allegations and rumors. As a public service, I will use the persuasion filter plus some pattern recognition to give you my subjective impression of the odds of each rumor being true. I will do this in the form of poker hands.

Let’s play Scandal Poker!

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Hear Me Tonight on BBC News Hour

I’m heading out to record an interview at the London office of the BBC, for News Hour. It airs in the 8 PM hour in London, so 2 PM EST.

The topic is Trump. They asked me to explain why so many people in America would vote for him. Apparently that is a bit of a mystery over here. I’ll clear it up for them, even though I endorse Gary Johnson.

You might like my book because they drink a lot of tea over here.

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Quick Debate Reactions from Switzerland

I just watched the debate on replay. Trump won bigly. This one wasn’t close. And keep in mind that I called Clinton the winner of the first debate, and I now endorse Gary Johnson, primarily to avoid being called an alleged enabler of alleged sex abusers and their alleged enablers. That basket of deplorables includes both Bill and Hillary Clinton (the alleged doer and the alleged cleaner-upper) plus Trump and his alleged misdeeds.

Some quick reactions…

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Why I Endorse Gary Johnson (this week)

I don’t know how to write this post without unintentionally disrespecting the real victims of abuse in any form. I apologize in advance if it comes off that way. But it’s part of the national conversation now, and unavoidable. The best I can do is focus on how voters perceive the situation. I don’t have an opinion about who did what to whom because I wasn’t in the room any of those times. That said…

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Trump’s African-American Reframing

Do you remember last week (or so) when Trump was saying that things are worse for African-Americans in 2016 than at any time in their history?

You probably laughed because it was such a ridiculous thing to say. And perhaps you wondered what kind of person says something that is so clearly false. The answer is a Master Persuader. That’s who.

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How’s My Timing?

Not bad, eh?

I’ll be watching the debate tonight, live streaming to you on Periscope. Find me at @ScottAdamsSays. Tune your TV to CNN and listen to my (limited) commentary as they go. My co-host will be neighbor, Kristina Basham.

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Why I Switched My Endorsement from Clinton to Trump

As most of you know, I had been endorsing Hillary Clinton for president, for my personal safety, because I live in California. It isn’t safe to be a Trump supporter where I live. And it’s bad for business too. But recently I switched my endorsement to Trump, and I owe you an explanation. So here it goes.

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Blowing Your Mind – as Promised

About a year ago I told you that Donald Trump would change far more than politics. I predicted that he would change your understanding of the human condition and your role in reality.

Back then, I couldn’t explain what I meant. You didn’t have the mental framework to hold this new idea – unless you were a trained hypnotist or a cognitive scientist. The ideas were too radical. 

Until now. 

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